Italy's Energy Demand Recovery Requires Infrastructure Investment Amid Renewable Growth
Increased renewable energy is projected to lower electricity prices in Italy but necessitates extensive infrastructure improvements. The Energy Roadmap 2026 by Impacta Strategy emphasizes the urgent need for thermal capacity and gas investments to ensure grid stability.
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Italy's electricity demand is forecasted to rise by 2% annually in the coming years after remaining stable for the past decade. Currently, renewables account for 40% of the national energy generation, aiming for over 60% by 2030, while thermal and import sources remain essential for system flexibility.
The energy system's adequacy margin has drastically decreased from 25 GW in 2013 to nearly zero, necessitating over 50 GW of thermal capacity and investments in gas infrastructure (LNG, pipelines, storage) to maintain grid balance. Enhancing interconnections across Europe is also crucial. Addressing Italy's high energy prices could save households and businesses €15 billion annually, with renewables potentially reducing prices by 25-30%, contingent on integrated infrastructure planning.
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