China Examines Missile Production Capacity for Potential Taiwan Conflict
China's military analysis reveals a focus on enhancing low-cost guided munitions in preparation for potential large-scale conflict with Taiwan, amid challenges in its missile production capacity. While the People's Liberation Army (PLA) has increased its ballistic missile inventory to approximately 2,850, structural and technical complexities within the state-controlled missile industry may impede wartime efficiency, raising concerns about sustained combat readiness in a prolonged conflict.
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China's military analysis suggests a need for low-cost guided munitions to prepare for large-scale warfare, particularly against Taiwan. The report highlights the U.S. military's shift towards cheaper munitions due to unsustainable costs of precision weapons, evidenced by recent operations.
The PLA is expected to utilize a significant volume of precision-guided munitions in any Taiwan conflict, with a focus on coordinated strikes against critical systems. While China's ballistic missile inventory has grown steadily, reaching around 2,850 missiles by 2023, challenges remain in production capacity.
The state-controlled missile industry, concentrated in a few companies, faces structural and technical complexities that could hinder wartime efficiency. Reports indicate that China's missile arsenal growth may not guarantee sustained combat power in a prolonged conflict, raising questions about its readiness for a potential Taiwan war.
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