Decline of Saudi Oil Rigs Signals Shift to Natural Gas Investments

Saudi Arabia's oil rig count has reached a 20-year low, with just 20 operational rigs in July 2023, down from 46 in early 2024. This marks the sixth consecutive month of decline, the lowest level since February 2005, as reported by Baker Hughes. The decrease reflects a strategic shift by the Saudi government to maintain its oil production capacity at 12 million barrels per day, opting against an expansion to 13 million. This transformation signals a significant change in the Kingdom's energy approach amidst evolving global dynamics.

Theia Market Signal Identification - AI Assisted

Published Aug 1, 2025

HYDROGEN

Saudi Arabia's oil rig count has plummeted to its lowest level in over 20 years, reflecting a significant transformation in the country's energy strategy. As of July 2023, the number of operational oil rigs dropped to 20 from 46 in early 2024, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline and the lowest figure since February 2005, according to Baker Hughes data. This downturn is attributed to the Saudi government's decision to maintain its oil production capacity at 12 million barrels per day rather than expanding it to 13 million.

Industry experts note that many oilfield expansion projects are nearing completion, leading to a slowdown in the maintenance of older fields. Robin Mills, founder of Qamar Energy, highlights that this trend is crucial for understanding future oil supply dynamics, particularly given Saudi Arabia's status as the worldás largest oil exporter.

In contrast to the decline in oil rig activity, natural gas projects are gaining traction, with Saudi Arabia aiming to enhance its natural gas output to meet domestic energy needs and to capitalize on global demand. The country's strategy includes a notable shift in investment, with over 50% of Saudi Aramco's upstream expenditures now directed towards gas projects. The Jafurah gas project, pivotal to this initiative, is expected to begin operations later this year, with further expansions planned for the near future.

Despite the growth in gas initiatives, rig suppliers face challenges due to reduced demand for oil drilling. SLB's CEO, Olivier Le Peuch, noted a decline in activity, while Rystad Energy's Rahul Choudhary emphasized the shift towards rigless operations in mature fields. This evolving landscape underscores the significant strategic pivot from oil dependency to a diversified energy portfolio focusing on natural gas.

In conclusion, Saudi Arabia's energy sector is undergoing a critical transformation, with a marked shift towards natural gas production as the country seeks to balance domestic energy needs and global market demands.