ADB Projects Economic Slowdown in Pacific Due to Energy Tensions
Economic growth in the Pacific is anticipated to decline from 4.2% in 2025 to 2.8% in 2026, with potential risks lowering it to 2.0%. This downturn is attributed to global disruptions in energy supply, particularly linked to conflicts in the Middle East.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) forecasts a reduction in Pacific economic growth, emphasizing risks from external shocks that could exacerbate existing vulnerabilities. Notably, small island economies like Tonga allocate over 10% of their GDP to fossil fuel imports, illustrating their exposure.
ADB is preparing targeted support measures and expanding investments in energy security and infrastructure, including renewable energy initiatives like the Tina River Hydropower Project in the Solomon Islands, expected to meet 70% of the country's electricity needs by 2028. Additionally, the bank highlighted challenges in food security due to rising fertilizer prices, with over 60% of consumption in many subregions reliant on imports, particularly from the Middle East.



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