Article

The EU's target of 20% sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), including 5% e-SAF, by 2035 raises doubts among aviation stakeholders about production capabilities. While the 6% target for 2030 is expected to be met, achieving 20% in five years is uncertain, particularly due to the lack of existing e-SAF production infrastructure.

The European Refuel EU Aviation regulation mandates increasing incorporation levels, yet industry leaders, including IATA's Willie Walsh, express skepticism about feasibility. Current financial support from the French government totals €200 million, which is insufficient compared to the estimated $2 billion needed for a production facility capable of 100,000 tonnes of e-fuel annually.

Companies like TotalEnergies plan to produce SAF from waste at a facility in Grandpuits, while smaller firms pursue various projects. The high cost of e-fuels and the potential for market shifts raise concerns about achieving EU targets without robust production and investment.