Article

The global clean hydrogen landscape is evolving rapidly, driven primarily by existing applications in ammonia production and refining. As regulatory frameworks tighten, particularly with the implementation of red III quotas, the momentum for clean hydrogen is poised to accelerate further.

Currently, approximately six million tonnes of clean hydrogen production capacity has received final investment decisions (FID). However, a mere 3.6 million tonnes—roughly 60% of this capacity—has established firm offtake agreements, according to the latest findings from the Hydrogen Council.

A closer examination reveals that less than half of these firm commitments are for green hydrogen initiatives. Specifically, 1.5 million tonnes are earmarked for green projects, while 2.1 million tonnes pertain to low-carbon blue hydrogen. This bifurcation underscores the ongoing reliance on established hydrogen production methods, even as the push for greener alternatives intensifies.

China emerges as a significant player in the green hydrogen domain, with 0.62 million tonnes of capacity secured through binding offtake agreements. Notably, 87% of this capacity is intended for local consumption or on-site utilization, highlighting the country’s commitment to harnessing clean hydrogen for its domestic market. As the hydrogen sector matures, the interplay between green and blue hydrogen and regional market dynamics will undoubtedly shape its trajectory in the coming years.